With the 2011 NFL Scouting Combine wrapping up its annual resume building event for aspiring professional players who are lucky enough to be invited, very few things have actually been answered. In fact, it can be argued that we now have more questions than we did a week ago in terms of how this year's crop of college football talent ranks.
Personally, I do not take too much stock in what happens at the combine. For one, it has had a history of allowing workout warriors to move up draft boards with impressive showings in the forty yard dash, the broad jump, and various positional drills that do not necessarily prove whether or not somebody is actually a good football player. Just as much, I do not believe one weekend in Indy running around on the turf at Lucas Oil Field should negate what a particular prospect may have done on the field over the last three or four years.
The most important aspect of the combine is what goes on behind the scenes, especially during the interviews. A player may be coached to reach peak performance as an athlete at the combine but they cannot hide their true inner-self for too long. Do not be fooled into thinking the broad jump is that important, it's more of whether or not a man looks the coaches and general managers in the eye when he shakes their hand and how he interacts with fellow competitors during group activities. Nobody really wants to draft an elite athlete who does not appear to get along with anybody or answer questions about his character truthfully. Teams want guys that are engaging leaders.
Many analysts, fans, and bloggers alike will get caught up in the measurables over the next couple months leading up to the draft but many NFL scouts will be hard at work trying to weigh the immeasurables. That is the true challenge of the job and it is something, that when done properly, will make the difference between selecting a potential all-pro or a bust.
As far as my mock draft goes, I will not consider updating it until right before the draft. At this point it is nothing more than a craps shoot to predict and there are just too many other things going on in the sports world to spend my time watching football players run drills. I would much rather turn my attention to the end of the NCAA College Hockey season, NCAA Basketball's March Madness, and the 2011 Iditarod Trail Sled Dog Race, which starts this Saturday in Anchorage, AK. To get updates of that race go to my Iditablog at www.iditarodtrail2011.blogspot.com.
Happy Tails!
Monday, February 28, 2011
Sunday, February 20, 2011
The Quick Board
1. Panthers - DT Nick Fairley, Auburn
2. Broncos - CB Patrick Peterson, LSU
3. Bills - DE DaQuan Bowers, Clemson
4. Bengals - QB Cam Newton, Auburn
5. Cardinals - OLB Von Miller, Texas A & M
6. Browns - WR AJ Green, Georgia
7. 49ers - DT Marcel Dareus, Alabama
8. Titans - CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska
9. Cowboys - DE Robert Quinn, UNC
10. Redskins - QB Blaine Gabbert, Missouri
11. Texans - Corey Liuget, Illinois
12. Vikings - CB Jimmy Smith, Colorado
13. Lions - OT Nate Solder, Colorado
14. Rams - WR Julio Jones, Alabama
15. Dolphins - OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA
16. Jaguars - DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin
17. Patriots (from Raiders) - DE Cam Jordan, Cal
18. Chargers - OT Tyron Smith, USC
19. Giants - OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College
20. Buccaneers - DE Adrian Clayborn
21. Chiefs - DE Aldon Smith, Missouri
22. Colts - OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin
23. Eagles - OG/C Mike Pouncey, Florida
24. Saints - RB Mark Ingram, Alabama
25. Seahawks - DE Muhammad Wilkerson, Temple
26. Ravens - TE Kyle Rudolph, Notre Dame
27. Falcons - DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue
28. Patriots -LB Justin Houston, Georgia
29. Bears - DE Cam Heyward, Ohio State
30. Jets - DT Phil Taylor, Baylor
31. Steelers - CB Brandon Harris, Miami
32. Packers - OT Ben Ijalana, Villanova
2. Broncos - CB Patrick Peterson, LSU
3. Bills - DE DaQuan Bowers, Clemson
4. Bengals - QB Cam Newton, Auburn
5. Cardinals - OLB Von Miller, Texas A & M
6. Browns - WR AJ Green, Georgia
7. 49ers - DT Marcel Dareus, Alabama
8. Titans - CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska
9. Cowboys - DE Robert Quinn, UNC
10. Redskins - QB Blaine Gabbert, Missouri
11. Texans - Corey Liuget, Illinois
12. Vikings - CB Jimmy Smith, Colorado
13. Lions - OT Nate Solder, Colorado
14. Rams - WR Julio Jones, Alabama
15. Dolphins - OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA
16. Jaguars - DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin
17. Patriots (from Raiders) - DE Cam Jordan, Cal
18. Chargers - OT Tyron Smith, USC
19. Giants - OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College
20. Buccaneers - DE Adrian Clayborn
21. Chiefs - DE Aldon Smith, Missouri
22. Colts - OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin
23. Eagles - OG/C Mike Pouncey, Florida
24. Saints - RB Mark Ingram, Alabama
25. Seahawks - DE Muhammad Wilkerson, Temple
26. Ravens - TE Kyle Rudolph, Notre Dame
27. Falcons - DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue
28. Patriots -LB Justin Houston, Georgia
29. Bears - DE Cam Heyward, Ohio State
30. Jets - DT Phil Taylor, Baylor
31. Steelers - CB Brandon Harris, Miami
32. Packers - OT Ben Ijalana, Villanova
Wednesday, January 19, 2011
The Under 30 Club: Which NFL Quarterbacks will be Dominating Headlines for the Nest 10 Years
With the retirement of Brett Favre this past week the National Football League waved goodbye to an icon. Favre was a unique player that accomplished many things that very few guys will ever get a chance to copy as well as some things that may never be done again in football. He will be missed on the field and I for one wish him the best.
Just as much, it probably will not be too long before we will also be waving so long to the likes Tom Brady and Peyton Manning, two of the league's other elite quarterbacks. Both of them have been around the block a bit and continue to play great football but nobody expects them to be around forever. Not only have they both reached and possibly surpassed the prime years of their respective careers, but both of them continue to be the main target of some of the most feared defenders in the National Football League. I can only imagine that retirement sounds mighty fine when it is 10° out, you are on the road in Pittsburgh, Baltimore,or New York, and guys ten years younger than you are trying to make names for themselves.
So as these future Hall of Famers move into the twilight of their careers and contemplate retirement as players new gunslingers are waiting in the wings to become the next great quarterback. In recent years we have seen several teams use their first round draft picks on the top QB talent coming out of college and the results have been extraordinary. Rookie passing records have been repeatedly broken as well as some all-time benchmarks by some of the NFL's youngest passers. So at the moment it appears that the future of the NFL will be in good hands.
With that in mind I have compiled a list of the top QB's that will be gracing our television screens and making pro-bowls for the next 10 years. A few guys one might expect to see here, such as Mike Vick, Tony Romo, and Eli Manning, did not make the list. This could be for a number of reasons and it is definitely not a knock on their abilities on the field. For the most part I just do not foresee the three of them taking snaps in 2020. They might even be lucky to still be taking snaps as starters in 2015.
The Top QB's Under the Age of 30:
1. Aaron Rodgers (27), Green Bay Packers - Possibly the coolest pure passer in the game. Rodgers has great pocket-presence with the ability to feel pressure and spin away from defenders. He never gets rattled and his accuracy is as good as it gets. The man completed 87% of his passes in the divisional playoff slaughtering of the Falcons last week and he continues to lead one the NFL's youngest rosters on and off the field.
2. Philip Rivers (29), San Diego Chargers - Rivers led the best offense in the NFL in 2010 and he continues to improve as a player each year. He can make all the throws and looks the part in every way. The biggest downside is the fact that his team continues to underachieve as whole, which might reflect negatively on Rivers' leadership abilities.
3. Ben Roethlisberger (28), Pittsburgh Steelers - Roethlisberger fits the Steelers' profile for a QB as he is tough as nails and does not make many mistakes. At 28 years old he already has two Super Bowl rings and is the only player on this list with even one Lombardi trophy on his resume. Do not be surprised if he ends his career with a couple more.
4. Joe Flacco (26), Baltimore Ravens - With already four playoff wins under his belt it looks as if we will be hearing Flacco's name for a while. He is big, tough, smart, and possesses a nice feel for the game. He was seventh in the league in QB rating in 2010 and if he keeps improving he could become one of the all-time greats.
5. Matt Ryan (25), Atlanta Falcons - Ryan has only lost three home games in his career but is 0-2 in playoff games. He is the best player on the Falcon's roster and made an immediate impact as a rookie three years ago, completing his first NFL pass for an 80 yard touchdown and turning the team into a playoff contender.
6. Matt Schaub (29), Houston Texans - The biggest knock on Schaub is his inability to get his team into the playoffs. Although he has put up some monster numbers he just cannot seem to get his team over the top ever since being traded from Atlanta in 2007 for two second round picks. If the defense can get it together Schaub could make a house-hold name out of himself.
7. Jay Cutler(27), Chicago Bears - Cutler has been under the microscope ever since being picked 11th in the 2006 draft by the Denver Broncos. At times he feels like an interception waiting to happen but statistically he has been solid throughout much his career. In 2010, Cutler finished the regular season 16th in the league in passing and as I write this they are preparing for an NFC championship game at home this weekend against the Packers. He is the team's best offensive player and if they improve the personnel surrounding him his numbers will improve.
8. Josh Freeman (23), Tampa Bay Buccaneers - The Bucs selected Freeman 18th overall in the 2009 draft and he finished his rookie season with three wins in eight starts. In 2010 he improved tremendously, finishing sixth in the league in passing and leading one of the youngest teams in the league to a 10-6 finish. He has shown the ability to win games with his arm and he has several notable fourth quarter comebacks that have drawn the attention of everybody around the league. In the end he should go down as the best Buccaneer passer ever and if the team keeps hitting on their draft picks this should be a team to watch for a long time. He is young, big (6'5" 250 lbs.), and hungry to get better.
9. Mark Sanchez (24), New York Jets - I know that I will get criticized for this one as Sanchez just won his fourth playoff game in his two-year career, which is definitely something to brag about. However, his numbers are near the bottom of NFL rankings. The wins are more of a testament to the defense and running game than Sanchez' ability as a QB. Nevertheless, he will be one worth watching in the future as there is no reason to think that he won't get better with experience.
10. Matt Cassel (28), Kansas City Chiefs - Cassel has had an interesting road to being a starting NFL QB as he never started a game in college and initially was given a chance when Tom Brady went down with an injury in 2008. After his performance that season, Cassel became a hot commodity on the free agent market for teams looking for a starter. In 2010 he finished the regular season eighth in the league in passing and won an AFC West division championship. The Chiefs got thumped by Baltimore in the first round of the playoffs though and Cassel looked awful. Of all the guys on this list he might have the shortest leash.
11. Honorable Mention: Sam Bradford (23), St Louis Rams - After being selected number one overall by the Rams in last April's draft, Bradford helped the team be more competitive in 2010 and they were one win away from a playoff berth. He finished 25th in passing but has brought a bunch of hope to a struggling franchise.
Just as much, it probably will not be too long before we will also be waving so long to the likes Tom Brady and Peyton Manning, two of the league's other elite quarterbacks. Both of them have been around the block a bit and continue to play great football but nobody expects them to be around forever. Not only have they both reached and possibly surpassed the prime years of their respective careers, but both of them continue to be the main target of some of the most feared defenders in the National Football League. I can only imagine that retirement sounds mighty fine when it is 10° out, you are on the road in Pittsburgh, Baltimore,or New York, and guys ten years younger than you are trying to make names for themselves.
So as these future Hall of Famers move into the twilight of their careers and contemplate retirement as players new gunslingers are waiting in the wings to become the next great quarterback. In recent years we have seen several teams use their first round draft picks on the top QB talent coming out of college and the results have been extraordinary. Rookie passing records have been repeatedly broken as well as some all-time benchmarks by some of the NFL's youngest passers. So at the moment it appears that the future of the NFL will be in good hands.
With that in mind I have compiled a list of the top QB's that will be gracing our television screens and making pro-bowls for the next 10 years. A few guys one might expect to see here, such as Mike Vick, Tony Romo, and Eli Manning, did not make the list. This could be for a number of reasons and it is definitely not a knock on their abilities on the field. For the most part I just do not foresee the three of them taking snaps in 2020. They might even be lucky to still be taking snaps as starters in 2015.
The Top QB's Under the Age of 30:
1. Aaron Rodgers (27), Green Bay Packers - Possibly the coolest pure passer in the game. Rodgers has great pocket-presence with the ability to feel pressure and spin away from defenders. He never gets rattled and his accuracy is as good as it gets. The man completed 87% of his passes in the divisional playoff slaughtering of the Falcons last week and he continues to lead one the NFL's youngest rosters on and off the field.
2. Philip Rivers (29), San Diego Chargers - Rivers led the best offense in the NFL in 2010 and he continues to improve as a player each year. He can make all the throws and looks the part in every way. The biggest downside is the fact that his team continues to underachieve as whole, which might reflect negatively on Rivers' leadership abilities.
3. Ben Roethlisberger (28), Pittsburgh Steelers - Roethlisberger fits the Steelers' profile for a QB as he is tough as nails and does not make many mistakes. At 28 years old he already has two Super Bowl rings and is the only player on this list with even one Lombardi trophy on his resume. Do not be surprised if he ends his career with a couple more.
4. Joe Flacco (26), Baltimore Ravens - With already four playoff wins under his belt it looks as if we will be hearing Flacco's name for a while. He is big, tough, smart, and possesses a nice feel for the game. He was seventh in the league in QB rating in 2010 and if he keeps improving he could become one of the all-time greats.
5. Matt Ryan (25), Atlanta Falcons - Ryan has only lost three home games in his career but is 0-2 in playoff games. He is the best player on the Falcon's roster and made an immediate impact as a rookie three years ago, completing his first NFL pass for an 80 yard touchdown and turning the team into a playoff contender.
6. Matt Schaub (29), Houston Texans - The biggest knock on Schaub is his inability to get his team into the playoffs. Although he has put up some monster numbers he just cannot seem to get his team over the top ever since being traded from Atlanta in 2007 for two second round picks. If the defense can get it together Schaub could make a house-hold name out of himself.
7. Jay Cutler(27), Chicago Bears - Cutler has been under the microscope ever since being picked 11th in the 2006 draft by the Denver Broncos. At times he feels like an interception waiting to happen but statistically he has been solid throughout much his career. In 2010, Cutler finished the regular season 16th in the league in passing and as I write this they are preparing for an NFC championship game at home this weekend against the Packers. He is the team's best offensive player and if they improve the personnel surrounding him his numbers will improve.
8. Josh Freeman (23), Tampa Bay Buccaneers - The Bucs selected Freeman 18th overall in the 2009 draft and he finished his rookie season with three wins in eight starts. In 2010 he improved tremendously, finishing sixth in the league in passing and leading one of the youngest teams in the league to a 10-6 finish. He has shown the ability to win games with his arm and he has several notable fourth quarter comebacks that have drawn the attention of everybody around the league. In the end he should go down as the best Buccaneer passer ever and if the team keeps hitting on their draft picks this should be a team to watch for a long time. He is young, big (6'5" 250 lbs.), and hungry to get better.
9. Mark Sanchez (24), New York Jets - I know that I will get criticized for this one as Sanchez just won his fourth playoff game in his two-year career, which is definitely something to brag about. However, his numbers are near the bottom of NFL rankings. The wins are more of a testament to the defense and running game than Sanchez' ability as a QB. Nevertheless, he will be one worth watching in the future as there is no reason to think that he won't get better with experience.
10. Matt Cassel (28), Kansas City Chiefs - Cassel has had an interesting road to being a starting NFL QB as he never started a game in college and initially was given a chance when Tom Brady went down with an injury in 2008. After his performance that season, Cassel became a hot commodity on the free agent market for teams looking for a starter. In 2010 he finished the regular season eighth in the league in passing and won an AFC West division championship. The Chiefs got thumped by Baltimore in the first round of the playoffs though and Cassel looked awful. Of all the guys on this list he might have the shortest leash.
11. Honorable Mention: Sam Bradford (23), St Louis Rams - After being selected number one overall by the Rams in last April's draft, Bradford helped the team be more competitive in 2010 and they were one win away from a playoff berth. He finished 25th in passing but has brought a bunch of hope to a struggling franchise.
Thursday, January 6, 2011
The Next Generation: Young NFL Teams to Watch in 2011
Every year there seems to be a team that surprises everybody in the NFL playoffs. In recent memory we have witnessed such teams as the '05 Steelers and '08 Cardinals squeak into the first round as a low seed and suddenly hit a hot streak all the way to the Super Bowl. Unfortunately, for every one of those teams there is also a good team that does not get invited to the post-season party.
2010 was no exception when it comes to late-season surprises. Several of the NFL's younger teams sitting at home this January wrapped up the year with wins. They were also very competitive throughout their respective regular season campaigns. If these teams can carry over that momentum into 2011 they could go from this year's "coulda woulda shoulda's" to next year's Super Bowl contenders.
NFC
Detroit Lions (6-10)
Analysis: In 2010 this team played its best football in three years, beating some tough teams (Packers and Bucs) and narrowly losing to others (Eagles, Jets, Bears, and Giants). Injuries to the top two quarterbacks on the depth chart was detrimental to any offensive cohesion and the defense was forced to scramble in order to fill holes all over the defensive back seven. The D-line and passing game have emerged as strengths but there are still a few holes that need to be filled, particularly at offensive line and linebacker. Head Coach Jim Schwartz and General Manager Martin Mayhew have done a great job improving the overall talent level and if they continue to draft like they have over the last two years this team will continue to add more checks in the win column.
Top Returning Players to Watch in 2011: QB Shaun Hill, QB Matt Stafford (IR), RB Jahvid Best, TE Brandon Pettigrew*, WR Calvin Johnson*, WR Nate Burleson, DT Ndamukong Suh*, FS Louis Delmas*, MLB DeAndre Levy, DE Cliff Avril, DE Lawrence Jackson, CB Alphonso Smith (IR), SS Amari Spievey
Early Draft Analysis: With the 13th pick in the draft the Lions will most likely go after one of their top needs but do not be surprised to see them take another defensive tackle, as there are some very good ones that could be available. If they can get the top player at any position it should go a long way towards building a playoff team in the near future. Schwartz and Mayhew have done a great job in the two drafts that they've orchestrated so there is no reason to think they will blow this one too.
Prospects for the 13th pick include CB Prince Amukamara - Nebraska, DT Marcel Dareus - Alabama, DT Stephen Paea - Oregon St, OL Mike Pouncey - Florida, CB Janoris Jenkins - Florida, DE Adrian Clayborn - Iowa, LB Bruce Carter - UNC, OT Gabe Carimi - Wisconsin, OT Derrick Sherrod - Mississippi State
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-6)
Analysis: The NFL's youngest team, which started eight rookies in 2010, surprised everybody this year by competing for a playoff spot all the way to the final week of the season. The Bucs' winning record did come at the expense of a very weak schedule but the team continued to overcome devastating losses due to injury and even beat the playoff-bound Saints on the road in week 17 with several of their top starters on IR. The team at least appears to be set at quarterback for a long time as long as Josh Freeman, a second year player, continues to play at the level he did in 2010 (25 TD's, six INT's).
Top Returning Players to Watch in 2011: QB Josh Freeman*, RB LaGarrette Blount, WR Mike Williams*, TE Kellen Winslow Jr.*, OG Daven Josheph* (IR), DL Gerald McCoy* (IR), DT Roy Miller, MLB Barrett Ruud*, LB Geno Hayes, S Cody Grimm, S Tanard Jackson (suspended in 2010), CB Aquib Talib* (IR)
Early Draft Analysis: It can be argued that no other team has drafted better than the Bucs over the last 15 years and if that trend continues this should be a title-contending team for the next decade. This year the Bucs are picking 20th, which is the same spot they took emerging star corner Talib. Some of the team's top needs this year include offensive line and defensive end, and they particularly need another run-stopper at end to help the 28th ranked rush defense.
Prospects for the 20th pick include DE Ryan Kerrigan - Purdue, OT Gabe Carimi - Wisconsin, OT Anthony Costonzo - Boston College, OT Derrick Sherrod - Mississippi State, WR Julio Jones - Alabama, DE Cameron Jordan - Cal, DE Cameron Heyward - Ohio State,
AFC
Miami Dolphins (7-9)
Analysis: The 'Fins finished 1-7 at home and 6-2 on the road. That is simply unheard of in the NFL but is just another sure sign of the parity throughout the league. Inconsistent play at quarterback and offensive line really kept the offense from gaining any momentum and the defense, despite putting up some good-looking statistics, broke down at some critical moments and did not hold up well in the last few weeks of the season. This team is stocked with quality talent though and they could be very close to being a post-season spoiler for somebody. The biggest problem this year may have been the schedule as six of their nine losses came at the hands of playoff-bound teams. Only one of their seven wins came against a team with a winning record (week 14 @ Jets).
Top Returning Players to Watch in 2011: QB Chad Henne, RB Ronnie Brown*, WR Brandon Marshall*, WR Davone Bess, TE Anthony Fasano, OT Jake Long*, OLB Koa Misi, LB Cameron Wake*, SS Yeremiah Bell, CB Vontae Davis, CB Sean Smith
Early Draft Analysis: The 'Fins have done a good job selecting players in the last few drafts. They have hit home on most of their high round picks and the team is young. With a couple more solid drafts this team could develop into a persistent contender out of the AFC East division. Their biggest needs at the moment include offensive line and running back. Starting RB Ronnie Brown has worn a lot of tread off his tires the last six years and backup Ricky Williams is 33 years old.
Prospects for the 15th pick include OT Nate Solder - Colorado, OT Gabe Carimi - Wisconsin, OLB Von Miller - Texas A & M, OLB Akeem Ayers - UCLA, RB Mark Ingram - Alabama, DE Cam Jordan - Cal
San Diego Chargers (9-7)
This one is a bit of a no-brainer. The Chargers have been one of the most talented and underachieving teams in the league for several years now. It just seems that at some point the organization will hit its stride and make a real run at a Super Bowl. Statistically, the Chargers were #1 in the NFL in both total offense and total defense! There is no real excusable reason why this team is not competing in the playoffs this year and they should be among the favorites to make a run in the AFC next year.
Top Returning Players to Watch in 2011: QB Phillip Rivers*, RB Ryan Mathews, WR Vincent Jackson*, TE Antonio Gates*, OT Marcus McNeil, OG Kris Dielman*, NT Antonio Garay, DE Jacques Cesaire, DE Louis Castillo, OLB Shaun Phillips, ILB Kevin Burnett, CB Quentin Jammer, CB Antoine Cason, FS Eric Weddle
Early Draft Analysis: San Diego has the 18th pick in the draft. The team does not have a lot of holes to fill as this team is already stocked with talent. The biggest need is at linebacker but the team could always stand to add another offensive lineman to the mix to protect Rivers and open holes in the running game. At the very least, a draft that adds some quality depth at several positions, including O-line, linebacker, safety, and receiver would be ideal.
Prospects for the 18th pick include OLB Akeem Ayers - UCLA, WR Julio Jones - Alabama, C/G Mike Pouncey - Florida, DE Cam Heyward - Ohio State, OT Derrick Sherrod - Mississippi State, LB Bruce Carter - UNC, LB Greg Jones - Michigan State
(* Denotes all-pro caliber player.)
Every year there seems to be a team that surprises everybody in the NFL playoffs. In recent memory we have witnessed such teams as the '05 Steelers and '08 Cardinals squeak into the first round as a low seed and suddenly hit a hot streak all the way to the Super Bowl. Unfortunately, for every one of those teams there is also a good team that does not get invited to the post-season party.
2010 was no exception when it comes to late-season surprises. Several of the NFL's younger teams sitting at home this January wrapped up the year with wins. They were also very competitive throughout their respective regular season campaigns. If these teams can carry over that momentum into 2011 they could go from this year's "coulda woulda shoulda's" to next year's Super Bowl contenders.
NFC
Detroit Lions (6-10)
Analysis: In 2010 this team played its best football in three years, beating some tough teams (Packers and Bucs) and narrowly losing to others (Eagles, Jets, Bears, and Giants). Injuries to the top two quarterbacks on the depth chart was detrimental to any offensive cohesion and the defense was forced to scramble in order to fill holes all over the defensive back seven. The D-line and passing game have emerged as strengths but there are still a few holes that need to be filled, particularly at offensive line and linebacker. Head Coach Jim Schwartz and General Manager Martin Mayhew have done a great job improving the overall talent level and if they continue to draft like they have over the last two years this team will continue to add more checks in the win column.
Top Returning Players to Watch in 2011: QB Shaun Hill, QB Matt Stafford (IR), RB Jahvid Best, TE Brandon Pettigrew*, WR Calvin Johnson*, WR Nate Burleson, DT Ndamukong Suh*, FS Louis Delmas*, MLB DeAndre Levy, DE Cliff Avril, DE Lawrence Jackson, CB Alphonso Smith (IR), SS Amari Spievey
Early Draft Analysis: With the 13th pick in the draft the Lions will most likely go after one of their top needs but do not be surprised to see them take another defensive tackle, as there are some very good ones that could be available. If they can get the top player at any position it should go a long way towards building a playoff team in the near future. Schwartz and Mayhew have done a great job in the two drafts that they've orchestrated so there is no reason to think they will blow this one too.
Prospects for the 13th pick include CB Prince Amukamara - Nebraska, DT Marcel Dareus - Alabama, DT Stephen Paea - Oregon St, OL Mike Pouncey - Florida, CB Janoris Jenkins - Florida, DE Adrian Clayborn - Iowa, LB Bruce Carter - UNC, OT Gabe Carimi - Wisconsin, OT Derrick Sherrod - Mississippi State
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-6)
Analysis: The NFL's youngest team, which started eight rookies in 2010, surprised everybody this year by competing for a playoff spot all the way to the final week of the season. The Bucs' winning record did come at the expense of a very weak schedule but the team continued to overcome devastating losses due to injury and even beat the playoff-bound Saints on the road in week 17 with several of their top starters on IR. The team at least appears to be set at quarterback for a long time as long as Josh Freeman, a second year player, continues to play at the level he did in 2010 (25 TD's, six INT's).
Top Returning Players to Watch in 2011: QB Josh Freeman*, RB LaGarrette Blount, WR Mike Williams*, TE Kellen Winslow Jr.*, OG Daven Josheph* (IR), DL Gerald McCoy* (IR), DT Roy Miller, MLB Barrett Ruud*, LB Geno Hayes, S Cody Grimm, S Tanard Jackson (suspended in 2010), CB Aquib Talib* (IR)
Early Draft Analysis: It can be argued that no other team has drafted better than the Bucs over the last 15 years and if that trend continues this should be a title-contending team for the next decade. This year the Bucs are picking 20th, which is the same spot they took emerging star corner Talib. Some of the team's top needs this year include offensive line and defensive end, and they particularly need another run-stopper at end to help the 28th ranked rush defense.
Prospects for the 20th pick include DE Ryan Kerrigan - Purdue, OT Gabe Carimi - Wisconsin, OT Anthony Costonzo - Boston College, OT Derrick Sherrod - Mississippi State, WR Julio Jones - Alabama, DE Cameron Jordan - Cal, DE Cameron Heyward - Ohio State,
AFC
Miami Dolphins (7-9)
Analysis: The 'Fins finished 1-7 at home and 6-2 on the road. That is simply unheard of in the NFL but is just another sure sign of the parity throughout the league. Inconsistent play at quarterback and offensive line really kept the offense from gaining any momentum and the defense, despite putting up some good-looking statistics, broke down at some critical moments and did not hold up well in the last few weeks of the season. This team is stocked with quality talent though and they could be very close to being a post-season spoiler for somebody. The biggest problem this year may have been the schedule as six of their nine losses came at the hands of playoff-bound teams. Only one of their seven wins came against a team with a winning record (week 14 @ Jets).
Top Returning Players to Watch in 2011: QB Chad Henne, RB Ronnie Brown*, WR Brandon Marshall*, WR Davone Bess, TE Anthony Fasano, OT Jake Long*, OLB Koa Misi, LB Cameron Wake*, SS Yeremiah Bell, CB Vontae Davis, CB Sean Smith
Early Draft Analysis: The 'Fins have done a good job selecting players in the last few drafts. They have hit home on most of their high round picks and the team is young. With a couple more solid drafts this team could develop into a persistent contender out of the AFC East division. Their biggest needs at the moment include offensive line and running back. Starting RB Ronnie Brown has worn a lot of tread off his tires the last six years and backup Ricky Williams is 33 years old.
Prospects for the 15th pick include OT Nate Solder - Colorado, OT Gabe Carimi - Wisconsin, OLB Von Miller - Texas A & M, OLB Akeem Ayers - UCLA, RB Mark Ingram - Alabama, DE Cam Jordan - Cal
San Diego Chargers (9-7)
This one is a bit of a no-brainer. The Chargers have been one of the most talented and underachieving teams in the league for several years now. It just seems that at some point the organization will hit its stride and make a real run at a Super Bowl. Statistically, the Chargers were #1 in the NFL in both total offense and total defense! There is no real excusable reason why this team is not competing in the playoffs this year and they should be among the favorites to make a run in the AFC next year.
Top Returning Players to Watch in 2011: QB Phillip Rivers*, RB Ryan Mathews, WR Vincent Jackson*, TE Antonio Gates*, OT Marcus McNeil, OG Kris Dielman*, NT Antonio Garay, DE Jacques Cesaire, DE Louis Castillo, OLB Shaun Phillips, ILB Kevin Burnett, CB Quentin Jammer, CB Antoine Cason, FS Eric Weddle
Early Draft Analysis: San Diego has the 18th pick in the draft. The team does not have a lot of holes to fill as this team is already stocked with talent. The biggest need is at linebacker but the team could always stand to add another offensive lineman to the mix to protect Rivers and open holes in the running game. At the very least, a draft that adds some quality depth at several positions, including O-line, linebacker, safety, and receiver would be ideal.
Prospects for the 18th pick include OLB Akeem Ayers - UCLA, WR Julio Jones - Alabama, C/G Mike Pouncey - Florida, DE Cam Heyward - Ohio State, OT Derrick Sherrod - Mississippi State, LB Bruce Carter - UNC, LB Greg Jones - Michigan State
(* Denotes all-pro caliber player.)
Monday, November 15, 2010
Mid-Season Draft Analysis
With the first half of the 2010 season in the rear-view mirror it is becoming more evident that this is one of the most competitive years ever in the National Football League. Every team has at least two losses and some of the teams at the bottom, such as Buffalo, Cleveland, and Detroit, have been very competitive. It is a craps-shoot at best when trying to predict how the final standings will have the teams ranked and it is even more so when trying to predict the outcome of next year's draft.
None the less, I have arranged the teams in the draft order of how I believe things could play out between now and February. There is a lot of football left so things will definitely change. When the season finally ends and a the Lombardi Trophy is passed on to the Super Bowl winner, I will take a look back at this list and adjust it accordingly.
For the most part, this is an attempt to look at the type of talent that will be available when teams make their selections in April. It looks to be another loaded draft, especially if there is another record year of underclassman entries.
1. Buffalo Bills: QB Andrew Luck, Stanford - The "worst" team in the league has been a tough opponent, losing some close games to some good teams, including the Baltimore Ravens. Luck appears to be the best quarterback prospect and might garner similar attention from NFL teams that Matt Stafford and Sam Bradford did the previous two years.
2. Carolina Panthers: DE Adrian Clayborn, Iowa - The Panthers are young and have a lot of holes to fill. One of the top three quarterbacks could be an option here as well but I believe the team will give Jimmy Clausen a solid chance to prove himself first. Clayborn should help fans forget about the loss of Julius Peppers last off-season.
3. Dallas Cowboys: OT Derek Sherrod, Mississippi State - The 'Boys need to add some young talent up front to protect Tony Romo and open up running lanes for the backs. Sherrod has helped the Bulldogs win a bunch of games in 2010 and they are now bowl eligible. He has the stuff to move up on NFL draft boards. He has handled some of the SEC's best pass-rushers and helped pave the way for a stout running attack.
4. San Francisco 49ers: CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska - NFL passing games are more explosive than ever right now so good cornerbacks are hard to pass up. At 6'1" and 205 lbs Amukamara is a prime candidate to match up against bigger receivers.
5. Denver Broncos: CB Patrick Peterson, LSU - Was in the Heisman hunt as a corner early in the season and has three INT's on the season even though teams have been trying to avoid him.
6. Arizona Cardinals: QB Ryan Mallet, Arakansas - No other team is weaker at QB than the Cardinals. Mallet may not be a perfect prospect but his skills are hard to pass up. Jake Locker begins to worry about his own draft status as he gets passed up here.
7. Detroit Lions : OT Anthony Costonzo, Boston College - The next phase of the Mo-town plan will be focused on improving the offensive line. Costonzo could be an elite left tackle prospect but might need to add some size and strength to his game in order to make waves in the running game. Wisconsin's Gabe Carimi and TCU's Marcus Cannon could also be options as well.
8. Cincinnati Bengals: DT Marcel Dareus, Alabama - The Bengals could take a chance on another QB here, such as Locker. Another defender to help stop the run and rush the passer would be nice too.
9. San Diego Chargers: WR AJ Green, Georgia - So long Vincent Jackson. Hello AJ Green. In the end it could be a great move for this long overrated team.
10. St Louis Rams: DE Da'Quan Bowers, Clemson - This team has some young pieces to build around, such as MLB James Laurinitis and QB Sam Bradford. Bowers could be another key addition.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars: WR Julio Jones, Alabama - Jones could work out very well opposite Sims-Walker and provide the offense with another dangerous weapon.
12. Seattle Seahawks - Allen Bailey, Miami - The Seahawks are on the right path but they need to continue developing their pass-rush. Jake Locker could also be an option here as QB is another position in need of an upgrade.
13. Oakland Raiders: QB Jake Locker, Washington - Will Al Davis pull the trigger on the athletically gifted but slightly overrated Husky passer? Why not?
14. Cleveland Browns: DE Cam Heyward, Ohio State - The Browns have looked relatively good so far in 2010. They should take a note from elite AFC teams and add more talent to the D-line.
15. Washington Redskins: C Stefen Wisniewski, Penn State - Starter Casey Rabach is 33 years old and Wisnieski is the type of technician that Mike Shanahan loves in the trenches.
16. Miami Dolphins: OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA - Another pass-rusher is always an option for teams looking to take the next step and compete in the playoffs. The Dolphins need some game-changers on the outside to run the 3-4 defense effectively.
17. Houston Texans: OL Marcus Cannon, TCU - A huge body that could play either guard or tackle. The team needs to continue to focusing on protecting QB Matt Schaub and opening up holes for RB Arian Foster.
18. Minnesota Vikings: DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue - Jaren Allen's production has slipped and age may be catching up to the entire D-line so I expect the team to start addressing the position ASAP.
19. Green Bay Packers: RB Mark Ingram, Alabama - The Packers passed on Jahvid Best in the draft and Marshawn Lynch in a mid-season trade. The team will select a RB somewhere in this draft.
20. Philadelphia Eagles: LB Bruce Carter, UNC - The Eagles could use more play-makers and solid tacklers on defense. Carter is both of those things and much more.
21. Indianapolis Colts: DT Stephen Paea - Jerry Hughes didn't emerge as a rookie and starters Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis are now entering their 30's, so end could be addressed again. However, Paea came on strong in 2010 and might not even last this long in the draft. If you can name any of the Colt's current DT's then you must be from Indy.
22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: LB Greg Jones, Michigan State - Versatile player could have been a first round pick last year. He has all the makings of a pro-bowl linebacker in the Buccaneer's defense.
23. Kansas City Chiefs: OT DeMarcus Love, Arkansas - Some things seem to be coming together in KC but they could use more help up front. Love is a solid prospect and would be a welcome addition to the team.
24. Tennessee Titans: DT Marvin Austin, UNC - Austin will be depending on a strong combine performance to boost his stock after being suspended in 2010. He has the ability to be a top-10 pick so the Titans would be silly to pass up on him here.
25. Chicago Bears: DE Cameron Jordan, California - Nice combination of size and athleticism could be a terror opposite Julius Peppers. O-line and wide receiver are the biggest needs though. Colorado OT Nate Solder or Wisconsin's Gabe Carimi might be nice fits at OT.
26. New England Patriots: CB Ras-I Dowling, Virginia - At 6'2" and 200 lbs Dowling could bring a physical presence to the position that the team has not seen since Ty Law was abusing receivers for them.
27. New Orleans Saints: DT Drake Nevis, LSU - The Saints are currently 17th against the rush and 16th in the league in sacks (19). Nevis seems to be able to do it all and has helped LSU to a top five defense nationally.
28. Baltimore Ravens: OLB Jeremy Beal, Oklahoma - Another play-maker on the outside edge? It never hurts to be well-stocked on defense. Besides, Beal might be a steal late in the first even though some "experts" have given him a second round grade.
29. New York Jets: DT Jerrell Powe, Ole Miss - Another big body (6'2" 340 lbs.) to plug the middle of the defense on running downs.
30. Atlanta Falcons: CB Curtis Brown, Texas - The Falcons may be the best team in the NFC now and in order to keep that momentum rolling they need to continue improving on defense.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OLB Von Miller, Texas A&M - The Steelers can never get enough pass-rushers on their depth chart. O-line and D-line may also get a long look here too but the organization is good at simply selecting the best available player.
32. New York Giants: OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin - If Carimi falls this far down it's simply a testament to the talent that is available, especially at the O-line position.
With the first half of the 2010 season in the rear-view mirror it is becoming more evident that this is one of the most competitive years ever in the National Football League. Every team has at least two losses and some of the teams at the bottom, such as Buffalo, Cleveland, and Detroit, have been very competitive. It is a craps-shoot at best when trying to predict how the final standings will have the teams ranked and it is even more so when trying to predict the outcome of next year's draft.
None the less, I have arranged the teams in the draft order of how I believe things could play out between now and February. There is a lot of football left so things will definitely change. When the season finally ends and a the Lombardi Trophy is passed on to the Super Bowl winner, I will take a look back at this list and adjust it accordingly.
For the most part, this is an attempt to look at the type of talent that will be available when teams make their selections in April. It looks to be another loaded draft, especially if there is another record year of underclassman entries.
1. Buffalo Bills: QB Andrew Luck, Stanford - The "worst" team in the league has been a tough opponent, losing some close games to some good teams, including the Baltimore Ravens. Luck appears to be the best quarterback prospect and might garner similar attention from NFL teams that Matt Stafford and Sam Bradford did the previous two years.
2. Carolina Panthers: DE Adrian Clayborn, Iowa - The Panthers are young and have a lot of holes to fill. One of the top three quarterbacks could be an option here as well but I believe the team will give Jimmy Clausen a solid chance to prove himself first. Clayborn should help fans forget about the loss of Julius Peppers last off-season.
3. Dallas Cowboys: OT Derek Sherrod, Mississippi State - The 'Boys need to add some young talent up front to protect Tony Romo and open up running lanes for the backs. Sherrod has helped the Bulldogs win a bunch of games in 2010 and they are now bowl eligible. He has the stuff to move up on NFL draft boards. He has handled some of the SEC's best pass-rushers and helped pave the way for a stout running attack.
4. San Francisco 49ers: CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska - NFL passing games are more explosive than ever right now so good cornerbacks are hard to pass up. At 6'1" and 205 lbs Amukamara is a prime candidate to match up against bigger receivers.
5. Denver Broncos: CB Patrick Peterson, LSU - Was in the Heisman hunt as a corner early in the season and has three INT's on the season even though teams have been trying to avoid him.
6. Arizona Cardinals: QB Ryan Mallet, Arakansas - No other team is weaker at QB than the Cardinals. Mallet may not be a perfect prospect but his skills are hard to pass up. Jake Locker begins to worry about his own draft status as he gets passed up here.
7. Detroit Lions : OT Anthony Costonzo, Boston College - The next phase of the Mo-town plan will be focused on improving the offensive line. Costonzo could be an elite left tackle prospect but might need to add some size and strength to his game in order to make waves in the running game. Wisconsin's Gabe Carimi and TCU's Marcus Cannon could also be options as well.
8. Cincinnati Bengals: DT Marcel Dareus, Alabama - The Bengals could take a chance on another QB here, such as Locker. Another defender to help stop the run and rush the passer would be nice too.
9. San Diego Chargers: WR AJ Green, Georgia - So long Vincent Jackson. Hello AJ Green. In the end it could be a great move for this long overrated team.
10. St Louis Rams: DE Da'Quan Bowers, Clemson - This team has some young pieces to build around, such as MLB James Laurinitis and QB Sam Bradford. Bowers could be another key addition.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars: WR Julio Jones, Alabama - Jones could work out very well opposite Sims-Walker and provide the offense with another dangerous weapon.
12. Seattle Seahawks - Allen Bailey, Miami - The Seahawks are on the right path but they need to continue developing their pass-rush. Jake Locker could also be an option here as QB is another position in need of an upgrade.
13. Oakland Raiders: QB Jake Locker, Washington - Will Al Davis pull the trigger on the athletically gifted but slightly overrated Husky passer? Why not?
14. Cleveland Browns: DE Cam Heyward, Ohio State - The Browns have looked relatively good so far in 2010. They should take a note from elite AFC teams and add more talent to the D-line.
15. Washington Redskins: C Stefen Wisniewski, Penn State - Starter Casey Rabach is 33 years old and Wisnieski is the type of technician that Mike Shanahan loves in the trenches.
16. Miami Dolphins: OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA - Another pass-rusher is always an option for teams looking to take the next step and compete in the playoffs. The Dolphins need some game-changers on the outside to run the 3-4 defense effectively.
17. Houston Texans: OL Marcus Cannon, TCU - A huge body that could play either guard or tackle. The team needs to continue to focusing on protecting QB Matt Schaub and opening up holes for RB Arian Foster.
18. Minnesota Vikings: DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue - Jaren Allen's production has slipped and age may be catching up to the entire D-line so I expect the team to start addressing the position ASAP.
19. Green Bay Packers: RB Mark Ingram, Alabama - The Packers passed on Jahvid Best in the draft and Marshawn Lynch in a mid-season trade. The team will select a RB somewhere in this draft.
20. Philadelphia Eagles: LB Bruce Carter, UNC - The Eagles could use more play-makers and solid tacklers on defense. Carter is both of those things and much more.
21. Indianapolis Colts: DT Stephen Paea - Jerry Hughes didn't emerge as a rookie and starters Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis are now entering their 30's, so end could be addressed again. However, Paea came on strong in 2010 and might not even last this long in the draft. If you can name any of the Colt's current DT's then you must be from Indy.
22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: LB Greg Jones, Michigan State - Versatile player could have been a first round pick last year. He has all the makings of a pro-bowl linebacker in the Buccaneer's defense.
23. Kansas City Chiefs: OT DeMarcus Love, Arkansas - Some things seem to be coming together in KC but they could use more help up front. Love is a solid prospect and would be a welcome addition to the team.
24. Tennessee Titans: DT Marvin Austin, UNC - Austin will be depending on a strong combine performance to boost his stock after being suspended in 2010. He has the ability to be a top-10 pick so the Titans would be silly to pass up on him here.
25. Chicago Bears: DE Cameron Jordan, California - Nice combination of size and athleticism could be a terror opposite Julius Peppers. O-line and wide receiver are the biggest needs though. Colorado OT Nate Solder or Wisconsin's Gabe Carimi might be nice fits at OT.
26. New England Patriots: CB Ras-I Dowling, Virginia - At 6'2" and 200 lbs Dowling could bring a physical presence to the position that the team has not seen since Ty Law was abusing receivers for them.
27. New Orleans Saints: DT Drake Nevis, LSU - The Saints are currently 17th against the rush and 16th in the league in sacks (19). Nevis seems to be able to do it all and has helped LSU to a top five defense nationally.
28. Baltimore Ravens: OLB Jeremy Beal, Oklahoma - Another play-maker on the outside edge? It never hurts to be well-stocked on defense. Besides, Beal might be a steal late in the first even though some "experts" have given him a second round grade.
29. New York Jets: DT Jerrell Powe, Ole Miss - Another big body (6'2" 340 lbs.) to plug the middle of the defense on running downs.
30. Atlanta Falcons: CB Curtis Brown, Texas - The Falcons may be the best team in the NFC now and in order to keep that momentum rolling they need to continue improving on defense.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OLB Von Miller, Texas A&M - The Steelers can never get enough pass-rushers on their depth chart. O-line and D-line may also get a long look here too but the organization is good at simply selecting the best available player.
32. New York Giants: OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin - If Carimi falls this far down it's simply a testament to the talent that is available, especially at the O-line position.
Monday, November 1, 2010
Emerging Youngsters: The NFL's Top Rookie Classes
We are nearly half way through the 2010 NFL season and many young players are making statements to be Rookie of the Year. Quarterback Sam Bradford is proving to have been worth the number one overall pick in the draft and wide receiver Dez Bryant has shown some toughness for the Cowboys. However, the Rams and Cowboys overall draft classes are not particularly strong but a few other teams have flown under the radar and found success with a number of first-year players.
To sift through the dross and bring you the best, I have compiled a short list of teams that I believe have possessed the top rookie classes so far in 2010. At the very least, these are the top five teams that have gotten the most help from the newest additions to their respective rosters.
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Top Rookie Performers: WR Mike Williams*, RB LaGarrette Blount, S Cody Grimm, DT Gerald McCoy - McCoy was the headliner after being the third overall pick, but Williams (32 rec, 470 yds, 4 TD's), a fourth round pick out of Syracuse, has been the most consistent weapon for second year quarterback Josh Freeman. Blount, an undrafted free agent who was originally picked up by San Francisco, has come on the last few weeks as the team's top rusher (5.2 yds/carry). Grimm (37 tackles, 2 INT's, 1 FF, 1 TD) has provided some stability in the secondary after Tanard Jackson was slapped with a season-long suspension. This is one of the best young rosters in the entire league and I expect them to keep improving and be competitive for the next decade.
2. Kansas City Chiefs: S Eric Berry*, TE Tony Moeaki*, WR/RB/KR Dexter McCluster, CB Javier Arenas, OG Jon Asamoah - The Chiefs have jumped out to a 5-2 record and a lot of credit needs to go to some of the rookies. Berry was largely considered one of the best overall prospects in the draft and he has not disappointed the team with his play (41 tackles, 2 INT's). Moeaki, a third round pick (93rd overall), is second on the team in receptions (24) and McCluster has provided the spark to pull off some upsets early in the season (see week one). Arenas is the team's top backup at corner and Asamoah has seen significant action on the O-line.
3. New England Patriots - Top Rookie Performers: TE/HB Aaron Hernandez, LB Brandon Spikes, CB Devin McCourty, TE Rob Gronkowski - Hernandez leads in receptions (29), Spikes is third in tackles (39), McCourty is tied for the team lead in INT's (2), and Gronkowski has three TD's. This young roster should continue to improve and may be good enough to compete for a Super Bowl berth.
4. Seattle Seahawks - Top Rookie Performers: S Earl Thomas*, CB Walter Thurmond, OT Russell Okung, WR/PR Golden Tate - Thomas leads the defense in INT's(4) and is second in tackles (35). He could eventually move to cornerback and should be a pro bowl player some day. Thurmond has collected 18 tackles in nickel and dime packages and special team duties after suffering a horrible knee injury last year in college. The rest of the rookies have contributed enough to make this a very strong class and help Seattle get to a 4-3 record. However, this team is lucky to be in the worst division in football and probably will not win many more games. To say the least, they still have a lot of work to do to be good.
5. Detroit Lions - Top Rookie Performers: DT Ndamokung Suh*, RB Jahvid Best*, DB Amari Spievey - Despite possessing another losing record, the Lions have been a lot more competitive this year and are beginning to show signs of being a good football team once again. It has been a rough decade for Motown fans but the efforts of many of the young players, such as Suh (6.5 sacks, 27 tackles, 1 INT, 1 FR, 1 TD) and Best (513 total yards, 5 TD's). Although this team is still a year away from being a true playoff contender, I believe they can win seven of their final nine games and win the division with an 8-8 record. A surprisingly mediocre division coupled with a favorable schedule will help out this young team the rest of the way.
*Denotes Rookie of the Year Candidate
To sift through the dross and bring you the best, I have compiled a short list of teams that I believe have possessed the top rookie classes so far in 2010. At the very least, these are the top five teams that have gotten the most help from the newest additions to their respective rosters.
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Top Rookie Performers: WR Mike Williams*, RB LaGarrette Blount, S Cody Grimm, DT Gerald McCoy - McCoy was the headliner after being the third overall pick, but Williams (32 rec, 470 yds, 4 TD's), a fourth round pick out of Syracuse, has been the most consistent weapon for second year quarterback Josh Freeman. Blount, an undrafted free agent who was originally picked up by San Francisco, has come on the last few weeks as the team's top rusher (5.2 yds/carry). Grimm (37 tackles, 2 INT's, 1 FF, 1 TD) has provided some stability in the secondary after Tanard Jackson was slapped with a season-long suspension. This is one of the best young rosters in the entire league and I expect them to keep improving and be competitive for the next decade.
2. Kansas City Chiefs: S Eric Berry*, TE Tony Moeaki*, WR/RB/KR Dexter McCluster, CB Javier Arenas, OG Jon Asamoah - The Chiefs have jumped out to a 5-2 record and a lot of credit needs to go to some of the rookies. Berry was largely considered one of the best overall prospects in the draft and he has not disappointed the team with his play (41 tackles, 2 INT's). Moeaki, a third round pick (93rd overall), is second on the team in receptions (24) and McCluster has provided the spark to pull off some upsets early in the season (see week one). Arenas is the team's top backup at corner and Asamoah has seen significant action on the O-line.
3. New England Patriots - Top Rookie Performers: TE/HB Aaron Hernandez, LB Brandon Spikes, CB Devin McCourty, TE Rob Gronkowski - Hernandez leads in receptions (29), Spikes is third in tackles (39), McCourty is tied for the team lead in INT's (2), and Gronkowski has three TD's. This young roster should continue to improve and may be good enough to compete for a Super Bowl berth.
4. Seattle Seahawks - Top Rookie Performers: S Earl Thomas*, CB Walter Thurmond, OT Russell Okung, WR/PR Golden Tate - Thomas leads the defense in INT's(4) and is second in tackles (35). He could eventually move to cornerback and should be a pro bowl player some day. Thurmond has collected 18 tackles in nickel and dime packages and special team duties after suffering a horrible knee injury last year in college. The rest of the rookies have contributed enough to make this a very strong class and help Seattle get to a 4-3 record. However, this team is lucky to be in the worst division in football and probably will not win many more games. To say the least, they still have a lot of work to do to be good.
5. Detroit Lions - Top Rookie Performers: DT Ndamokung Suh*, RB Jahvid Best*, DB Amari Spievey - Despite possessing another losing record, the Lions have been a lot more competitive this year and are beginning to show signs of being a good football team once again. It has been a rough decade for Motown fans but the efforts of many of the young players, such as Suh (6.5 sacks, 27 tackles, 1 INT, 1 FR, 1 TD) and Best (513 total yards, 5 TD's). Although this team is still a year away from being a true playoff contender, I believe they can win seven of their final nine games and win the division with an 8-8 record. A surprisingly mediocre division coupled with a favorable schedule will help out this young team the rest of the way.
*Denotes Rookie of the Year Candidate
Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Fantasy Frills: Top Picks, Fast Risers, Late Round Steals, and Rookies to Watch
The 2010 football season is full of high expectations. The National Football League as a whole has a lot to top after three straight spectacular Super Bowls and as much, if not more, hype than ever leading into the regular season. Individual teams are all looking to make the playoffs and improve on last year's performances. The players themselves are also getting busy making bold predictions about the outcome of their respective upcoming seasons. For most fantasy players, such as myself, this talk has little to no value whatsoever. We know how much each player is worth, at least in terms of fantasy points, and we know pretty much where to take them in our drafts.
With that mind, let's take a look at the players that will be gracing the tops of fantasy draft boards by position. I have also included a list of players on the rise as well as some guys that might be considered valuable late-round or free agent sleepers. I will not post any mock drafts or even begin to speculate on who I believe will be the biggest fantasy busts this year, as I do not need to show my entire hand to my opponents in the "No Pants League". Sorry guys.
Top Fantasy Players by Position:
Quarterbacks
1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers - Has become an All-Pro quarterback practically capable of making everybody in Wisconsin forget about the legend that preceded him. He was a savior on many fantasy teams last year.
2. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints - Great leader with all the intangibles could be the first QB off the board in any league.
3. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts - He may not be a fantasy stud but he shows up every week and never lets his owners down.
4. Tom Brady, New England Patriots - Was not the same after coming back from missing the '08 season due to knee surgery. He is worth a high pick though as he could put up another 4000 yards and 30+ touchdowns in 2010.
5. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys - Romo has all the tools to put up monster numbers as long as his O-line protects him. Do not be surprised if he gets sacked 50 times this year.
Running Backs
1. Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans - Can he top 2500? Possible but not likely. Will he repeat his 2000 yard performance from last year? I do not doubt it. He is the number one fantasy player available.
2. Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings - The second best fantasy player available might just end the season with the most points.
3. Michael Turner, Atlanta Falcons - Had a subpar campaign in his second season in Atlanta. I expect him to rebound with at least 1300 yards rushing and 12 touchdowns.
4. Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens - He will get his chances to carry the load and could top 1500 yards. Will fumbling be a problem for him?
5. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jacksonville Jaguars - Can do it all out of the backfield and the Jaguars will be asking a lot of him. He is their key to success on offense.
Wide Receivers
1. Andrew Johnson, Houston Texans - Possibly a top ten pick. The biggest problem with him is that he faces a lot of double team coverage.
2. Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions - Nobody faces more double and triple team coverage than this guy. With Jahvid Best and Nate Burleson on board "Megatron" might catch 16 touchdowns in a season. Matt Stafford will be looking to him in the end zone every time they get near it.
3. Randy Moss, New England Patriots - Still had a good year last year despite the fact that his best days are behind him.
4. Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals - Knee injury in preseason and inconsistency at quarterback could be a problem for him in 2010.
5. DeSean Jackson, Philadelphia Eagles - On his way to becoming a super star and could be a fantasy stud receiver.
Tight End
1. Dallas Clark, Indianapolis Colts - Tight ends are not particularly hot commodities but Clark is a steady producer with one of the game's best passers ever throwing to him.
2. Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers - 1,000 yards receiving and at least eight touchdowns are normal numbers for him over the last several seasons.
3. Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers - Broke out last year with 13 TD's but can he repeat it? He is currently sidelined with a minor knee injury.
4. Brent Celek, Philadelphia Eagles - The forgotten man in the Eagles' passing attack will surprise many fantasy owners.
5. Jason Whitten, Dallas Cowboys - Might be the best all-around tight end in the league. Will Romo be able to get the ball to him consistently?
I will leave the kickers and defense/special teams out of this discussion. Most people do not spend a high, or even mid-round, pick on either one for that matter. Personally, I prefer to wait until after the draft to grab them off the free agent list.
Fast Risers: The Top Five Players Moving Up Draft Boards
1. RB Cedric Benson, Cincinnati Bengals - Benson had 1200 yards last year and could get more field to run with T.O. and Jermaine Gresham now on board, especially in the red zone.
2. QB Kevin Kolb, Philadelphia Eagles - The heir to McNabb's throne might just surprise everybody and become a top 25 fantasy player. He has looked good thus far and has the weapons around him to put up big numbers.
3. QB Matt Stafford, Detroit Lions - I expect Stafford to take a step in the right direction in his second season at the helm of the Lions offense. He also has one of the best players in the entire league to throw to in Calvin Johnson. 25 touchdowns is not out of reach for him.
4. RB Arian Foster, Houston Texans - The new starter for a team that expects to compete for a playoff spot. Foster has looked good in the preseason and has the size (6'1" 220 lbs) to carry the load.
5. WR Mike Wallace, Pittsburgh Steelers - Led the league in yards per catch (19.4) last season and will get a lot of opportunities to put his speed on display once again.
Potential Late Round and Free Agent Steals
1. QB Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Erratic rookie season and a fractured thumb will turn a lot of people off but he is poised and ready to prove he belongs in the NFL.
2. Cincinnati Bengals Defense - This unit looks as deep and talented as any on paper. They were fourth in the league in total D last year and are hungry for more.
3. WR Chris Chambers, Kansas City Chiefs - Might be quarterback Matt Cassel's favorite target and could take over as the team's number one receiver.
4. RB Leon Washington, Seattle Seahawks - Will get every chance to prove he has fully recovered from a gruesome leg injury. He has the speed and skills to score a lot of long TD's out of the backfield.
5. RB Bernard Scott, Cincinnati Bengals - The top backup behind Cedric Benson could get a lot of opportunities.
Top Five Rookies to Watch Down the Road
1. TE Jermaine Gresham, Cincinnati Bengals - He will be the starter in Cincy and could find himself open a lot with Batman and Robin grabbing all the attention from coverages.
2. RB Dexter McCluster, Kansas City Chiefs - Has the ability to be a "game-changer".
3. WR Mike Williams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Has been practicing with the starting unit since day one of training camp and has not disappointed thus far in the preseason.
4. WR Jordan Shipley, Cincinnati Bengals - Could find himself as the team's slot receiver with his ability to run crisp routes, get open underneath, and secure the ball. So far he has looked good in preseason.
5. QB Jimmy Clausen, Carolina Panthers - May not start in week one but could be whipping balls to Steve Smith on Sundays by mid-season. He could quickly become a valuable backup.
With that mind, let's take a look at the players that will be gracing the tops of fantasy draft boards by position. I have also included a list of players on the rise as well as some guys that might be considered valuable late-round or free agent sleepers. I will not post any mock drafts or even begin to speculate on who I believe will be the biggest fantasy busts this year, as I do not need to show my entire hand to my opponents in the "No Pants League". Sorry guys.
Top Fantasy Players by Position:
Quarterbacks
1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers - Has become an All-Pro quarterback practically capable of making everybody in Wisconsin forget about the legend that preceded him. He was a savior on many fantasy teams last year.
2. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints - Great leader with all the intangibles could be the first QB off the board in any league.
3. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts - He may not be a fantasy stud but he shows up every week and never lets his owners down.
4. Tom Brady, New England Patriots - Was not the same after coming back from missing the '08 season due to knee surgery. He is worth a high pick though as he could put up another 4000 yards and 30+ touchdowns in 2010.
5. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys - Romo has all the tools to put up monster numbers as long as his O-line protects him. Do not be surprised if he gets sacked 50 times this year.
Running Backs
1. Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans - Can he top 2500? Possible but not likely. Will he repeat his 2000 yard performance from last year? I do not doubt it. He is the number one fantasy player available.
2. Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings - The second best fantasy player available might just end the season with the most points.
3. Michael Turner, Atlanta Falcons - Had a subpar campaign in his second season in Atlanta. I expect him to rebound with at least 1300 yards rushing and 12 touchdowns.
4. Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens - He will get his chances to carry the load and could top 1500 yards. Will fumbling be a problem for him?
5. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jacksonville Jaguars - Can do it all out of the backfield and the Jaguars will be asking a lot of him. He is their key to success on offense.
Wide Receivers
1. Andrew Johnson, Houston Texans - Possibly a top ten pick. The biggest problem with him is that he faces a lot of double team coverage.
2. Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions - Nobody faces more double and triple team coverage than this guy. With Jahvid Best and Nate Burleson on board "Megatron" might catch 16 touchdowns in a season. Matt Stafford will be looking to him in the end zone every time they get near it.
3. Randy Moss, New England Patriots - Still had a good year last year despite the fact that his best days are behind him.
4. Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals - Knee injury in preseason and inconsistency at quarterback could be a problem for him in 2010.
5. DeSean Jackson, Philadelphia Eagles - On his way to becoming a super star and could be a fantasy stud receiver.
Tight End
1. Dallas Clark, Indianapolis Colts - Tight ends are not particularly hot commodities but Clark is a steady producer with one of the game's best passers ever throwing to him.
2. Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers - 1,000 yards receiving and at least eight touchdowns are normal numbers for him over the last several seasons.
3. Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers - Broke out last year with 13 TD's but can he repeat it? He is currently sidelined with a minor knee injury.
4. Brent Celek, Philadelphia Eagles - The forgotten man in the Eagles' passing attack will surprise many fantasy owners.
5. Jason Whitten, Dallas Cowboys - Might be the best all-around tight end in the league. Will Romo be able to get the ball to him consistently?
I will leave the kickers and defense/special teams out of this discussion. Most people do not spend a high, or even mid-round, pick on either one for that matter. Personally, I prefer to wait until after the draft to grab them off the free agent list.
Fast Risers: The Top Five Players Moving Up Draft Boards
1. RB Cedric Benson, Cincinnati Bengals - Benson had 1200 yards last year and could get more field to run with T.O. and Jermaine Gresham now on board, especially in the red zone.
2. QB Kevin Kolb, Philadelphia Eagles - The heir to McNabb's throne might just surprise everybody and become a top 25 fantasy player. He has looked good thus far and has the weapons around him to put up big numbers.
3. QB Matt Stafford, Detroit Lions - I expect Stafford to take a step in the right direction in his second season at the helm of the Lions offense. He also has one of the best players in the entire league to throw to in Calvin Johnson. 25 touchdowns is not out of reach for him.
4. RB Arian Foster, Houston Texans - The new starter for a team that expects to compete for a playoff spot. Foster has looked good in the preseason and has the size (6'1" 220 lbs) to carry the load.
5. WR Mike Wallace, Pittsburgh Steelers - Led the league in yards per catch (19.4) last season and will get a lot of opportunities to put his speed on display once again.
Potential Late Round and Free Agent Steals
1. QB Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Erratic rookie season and a fractured thumb will turn a lot of people off but he is poised and ready to prove he belongs in the NFL.
2. Cincinnati Bengals Defense - This unit looks as deep and talented as any on paper. They were fourth in the league in total D last year and are hungry for more.
3. WR Chris Chambers, Kansas City Chiefs - Might be quarterback Matt Cassel's favorite target and could take over as the team's number one receiver.
4. RB Leon Washington, Seattle Seahawks - Will get every chance to prove he has fully recovered from a gruesome leg injury. He has the speed and skills to score a lot of long TD's out of the backfield.
5. RB Bernard Scott, Cincinnati Bengals - The top backup behind Cedric Benson could get a lot of opportunities.
Top Five Rookies to Watch Down the Road
1. TE Jermaine Gresham, Cincinnati Bengals - He will be the starter in Cincy and could find himself open a lot with Batman and Robin grabbing all the attention from coverages.
2. RB Dexter McCluster, Kansas City Chiefs - Has the ability to be a "game-changer".
3. WR Mike Williams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Has been practicing with the starting unit since day one of training camp and has not disappointed thus far in the preseason.
4. WR Jordan Shipley, Cincinnati Bengals - Could find himself as the team's slot receiver with his ability to run crisp routes, get open underneath, and secure the ball. So far he has looked good in preseason.
5. QB Jimmy Clausen, Carolina Panthers - May not start in week one but could be whipping balls to Steve Smith on Sundays by mid-season. He could quickly become a valuable backup.
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